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#1704149 - 05/03/12 03:45 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
LisaT Offline
Max Falkenstein

Registered: 03/11/07
Great stuff guys, thanks for posting, saves me some time. I am still going with Take Charge Indy....book it.
_________________________
Summer of Love

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#1704150 - 05/03/12 03:58 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: LisaT]
appyhawk Offline
Wilt Chamberlain

Registered: 05/17/04
Loc: Flint Hills
I think we both need to get lucky.
I've decided to go with a hunch play, El Padrino!
_________________________
"Better to do less well than more poorly." Appy

www.cappersoverlay.com





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#1704151 - 05/03/12 04:20 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
HunterThompson Offline
Baby Jay

Registered: 10/23/06
Loc: Woody Creek, CO
Gawd, if owned horses, I'd name them Sarah Jessica Parker and John Elway.
_________________________
"This will make us the envy of the Big 12." --Rand Berney (somebody from statie)

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#1704152 - 05/03/12 04:25 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: HunterThompson]
christgs80 Offline
Max Falkenstien

Registered: 05/17/04
Don't forget Shannon Sharpe

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#1704153 - 05/04/12 09:19 AM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: christgs80]
Anonymous
Unregistered

Outstanding Summary Sheet:

Derby Summary Sheet

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#1704154 - 05/04/12 09:22 AM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: christgs80]
DrPepper Offline
US Marshal, Kansas Territory

Registered: 09/18/03
Loc: Buffalo, NY
1.Gemologist
2.Henson

Nothing fancy. Contenders without terrible slots. I am fascinated by the white horse (Henson) so there might be some bias there. With Gemologist, I like the name.

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#1704155 - 05/04/12 10:23 AM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
LisaT Offline
Max Falkenstein

Registered: 03/11/07
Quote:

I think we both need to get lucky.
I've decided to go with a hunch play, El Padrino!




Good luck Appy!
_________________________
Summer of Love

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#1704156 - 05/04/12 11:30 AM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: LisaT]
Anonymous
Unregistered

This will be a great race by a great field. Each time you scour over past performances, prep-race replays, expert opinions and analysis, you can come up with even more valid reasons to include or exclude certain horses.

Betting this race always involves calculated guessing. 20 three-year-olds who've never been this distance under these conditions, and usually the best horse does not win. It comes down to trips, which is often affected by post position and the mightiest of unknowns: racing luck.

I can make a solid case for about 10 of these horses, but you'd have to be a millionaire to bet all those combinations.

All that said, here goes:

Dullahan is still my top choice, yet a lukewarm selection. He has to have SO many things go his way, but the one thing he needs favors him the most - a contested pace. Dullahan will be running at the end of the race, I cannot feel this way about ANY of the front runners.

I will combo Dullahan as my closer, Union Rags as my stalker and hopeful finisher, Bodemeister because he's a threat in all the slots, and Creative Cause because I like his style and grit.

$24 for an exacta box, using the above 4.
$24 for a trifecta box, using the above 4.
$20 WPS on Dullahan, $100 Show on Dullahan.

I will tinker with the superfecta, but not much because it's a one-dollar base instead of a dime-base.

Good luck to everyone on a day that it's much better to be lucky than good !!

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#1704157 - 05/04/12 12:44 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY
appyhawk Offline
Wilt Chamberlain

Registered: 05/17/04
Loc: Flint Hills
Oaks TODAY.
Just as good a race as the Derby but only 14 entrants.
Got it figured?
_________________________
"Better to do less well than more poorly." Appy

www.cappersoverlay.com





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#1704158 - 05/04/12 12:48 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
jhawks99 Offline
Defense

Registered: 12/03/05
Loc: Rebounds
Quote:

Oaks TODAY.
Just as good a race as the Derby but only 14 entrants.
Got it figured?




I don't know doodlie about horse racin, but the folks I work with here in Lexington much prefer The Oaks to The Derby.
_________________________
Defense. Rebounds.

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#1704159 - 05/04/12 01:02 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: jhawks99]
christgs80 Offline
Max Falkenstien

Registered: 05/17/04
Bad start to Kentucky Oaks day.

Plum Pretty ran a dud in the 6th.

In the Oaks, I've got Grace Hall keyed with with 1-3-8-9-13 in exactas and tris.

Good luck.

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#1704160 - 05/04/12 02:23 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
Anonymous
Unregistered

Quote:

Oaks TODAY.
Just as good a race as the Derby but only 14 entrants.
Got it figured?




Gotta work, can't play. Ughhh !

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#1704161 - 05/04/12 04:06 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY
appyhawk Offline
Wilt Chamberlain

Registered: 05/17/04
Loc: Flint Hills
Uh oh.
Under caution and clearing the infield at CD. They're already speculating it could be enough to make for a sloppy track tomorrow.
Mudder in th Oaks?

Even if he somehow wins late money will kill my El Padrino odds. So much for trying to be sly. I'll hedge with a speed horse off the rail...dumdedumdedum...
Bodemeister to break the curse!
_________________________
"Better to do less well than more poorly." Appy

www.cappersoverlay.com





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#1704162 - 05/04/12 05:41 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
appyhawk Offline
Wilt Chamberlain

Registered: 05/17/04
Loc: Flint Hills
OAKS was THRILLING!
Especially if you picked Believe You Can.

29.60@2
Rosie rules.

Late to do chores.
_________________________
"Better to do less well than more poorly." Appy

www.cappersoverlay.com





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#1704163 - 05/04/12 06:03 PM Re: KENTUCKY DERBY [Re: appyhawk]
christgs80 Offline
Max Falkenstien

Registered: 05/17/04
Ugh....so frustrating.

Grace Hall finishes 2nd...I hit the world

Between that and missing the tri in the 8th by 3/4 of a length (which paid over $700)...it was a rough Kentucky Oaks Day

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